Will OpenAI overtake Anthropic in Valuation before 2028
EquitiesAIOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateTech1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 71.1%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 31, 26, 8:33 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027
Manifold MarketsRules
About this market/account
- The only way this account can make mana from trader bonuses.
- This account is dedicated to making interesting and cool markets.
- If you would like to support this cause donations will be appreciated.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028 (12:00 AM UTC), OpenAI's official valuation is verified to be strictly greater than Anthropic's official valuation.
