Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69.4%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 25, 11:45 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if Anthropic raises funds at a valuation >$1 trillion before OpenAI does.
- Close date will extend until one of the two companies raises funds at >$1 trillion.