How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be?
Corporate ActionsAIOne-OffBusiness & CorporateTech1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast4.5 months to 8.5 months 32%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleApr 27, 26, 2:03 AM UTCJan 2, 28, 3:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketRules
After companies IPO, they typically have lock-up periods during which employees can't sell their stock.
- These lock-up periods are typically 3 or 6 months, though longer and shorter lock-up periods aren't unheard of.
- How long will the lock-up period be for Anthropic?
- For the purposes of this question, the lock-up period will be defined as the time period starting on the day of the IPO and ending on the day when Anthropic employees can sell stock (including shares that are in DAFs) that is collectively worth 5% of Anthropic's valuation.
- If Anthropic doesn't IPO by end of 2027, this question will resolve N/A.
