SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
ExchangeRegulationOne-OffSpaceCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateEquitiesAITech3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2.0T - 2.499T 26.8%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 4:22 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:16 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- A market option will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) at the close of the first trading day following the expiration of the initial post-IPO lock-up period is within a specific range, and "No" otherwise.
- Source of Truth: The market capitalization will be determined based on the official closing share price on the Nasdaq exchange on the day the lock-up period expires.
- This data can be verified via standard financial platforms such as Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, or the Nasdaq official website.
- Lock-up Period: The resolution date is defined as the first market trading day after lock-up restrictions for the primary group of insiders/employees permanently end.
- If the lock-up expiration falls on a weekend or market holiday, it will resolve on the next business day.
Open markets
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Fcerablo
- ABLO+10.0pt72.5%
- FCER-14.0pt27.6%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Wtamatch WUSO 26 Nosaeryb
- ERYB+27.0pt81.2%
- NOSA-26.0pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $78,100 or above99%
- $75,300 or above99%
- $78,000 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $245.4K
- 24h Vol
- $211.7K
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ageabvan
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaltie
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Ijovcgau
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Azveldar
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period??
- Manifold Markets prices 2.0T - 2.499T at 27% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period? resolve?
- SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria