SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

Exchange RegulationOne-OffSpace Corporate Actions Business & Corporate Equities AI Tech6mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYC

Current community forecast

Below 0.5T 1%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale

May 22, 26, 4:22 AMJan 1, 27, 5:16 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Below 0.5T1%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolution criteria

A market option will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) at the close of the first trading day following the expiration of the initial post-IPO lock-up period is within a specific range, and "No" otherwise.
Source of Truth: The market capitalization will be determined based on the official closing share price on the Nasdaq exchange on the day the lock-up period expires.
This data can be verified via standard financial platforms such as Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, or the Nasdaq official website.
Lock-up Period: The resolution date is defined as the first market trading day after lock-up restrictions for the primary group of insiders/employees permanently end.
If the lock-up expiration falls on a weekend or market holiday, it will resolve on the next business day.

Related Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

≥$0.6T: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

$110.1K

↑$1.6T: 100%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

$84.6K

$2.0T-$2.5T: 53%

POLYMARKET

Sinda IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.4K

$1.6B-$2B: 99%

POLYMARKET

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

$128.7

Under $3T: 1.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will Anthropics Public Ticker be?

$402

$ANTH: 57.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$59,953.36+0.33%

EthereumETH$1,573.43+0.33%

SolanaSOL$71.69+5.63%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0753+0.60%

BNBBNB$566.46+0.96%

XRPXRP$1.05+0.24%

Related News

Australian regulator extends no-action period for crypto licensingCointelegraph

The CLARITY Act’s real obstacle is not crypto. It is Trump’s crypto businessCrypto News

Binance tells EU users it will no longer provide services after failing to secure MiCA licenseCoindesk

Binance to stop serving EU clients after missing MiCA licence deadlineCrypto News

What Is the GENIUS Act? A Guide to U.S. Stablecoin LawThe Block

Senate races to advance crypto legislation in July as housing bill turmoil threatens timelineThe Block

Rules

Resolution criteria

A market option will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) at the close of the first trading day following the expiration of the initial post-IPO lock-up period is within a specific range, and "No" otherwise.
Source of Truth: The market capitalization will be determined based on the official closing share price on the Nasdaq exchange on the day the lock-up period expires.
This data can be verified via standard financial platforms such as Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, or the Nasdaq official website.
Lock-up Period: The resolution date is defined as the first market trading day after lock-up restrictions for the primary group of insiders/employees permanently end.
If the lock-up expiration falls on a weekend or market holiday, it will resolve on the next business day.

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

Exchange RegulationOne-OffSpace Corporate Actions Business & Corporate Equities AI Tech6mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYC

Current community forecast

Below 0.5T 1%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale

May 22, 26, 4:22 AMJan 1, 27, 5:16 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Below 0.5T1%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolution criteria

A market option will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) at the close of the first trading day following the expiration of the initial post-IPO lock-up period is within a specific range, and "No" otherwise.
Source of Truth: The market capitalization will be determined based on the official closing share price on the Nasdaq exchange on the day the lock-up period expires.
This data can be verified via standard financial platforms such as Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, or the Nasdaq official website.
Lock-up Period: The resolution date is defined as the first market trading day after lock-up restrictions for the primary group of insiders/employees permanently end.
If the lock-up expiration falls on a weekend or market holiday, it will resolve on the next business day.

Related Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

≥$0.6T: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

$110.1K

↑$1.6T: 100%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

$84.6K

$2.0T-$2.5T: 53%

POLYMARKET

Sinda IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.4K

$1.6B-$2B: 99%

POLYMARKET

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

$128.7

Under $3T: 1.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will Anthropics Public Ticker be?

$402

$ANTH: 57.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$59,953.36+0.33%

EthereumETH$1,573.43+0.33%

SolanaSOL$71.69+5.63%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0753+0.60%

BNBBNB$566.46+0.96%

XRPXRP$1.05+0.24%

Related News

Australian regulator extends no-action period for crypto licensingCointelegraph

The CLARITY Act’s real obstacle is not crypto. It is Trump’s crypto businessCrypto News

Binance tells EU users it will no longer provide services after failing to secure MiCA licenseCoindesk

Binance to stop serving EU clients after missing MiCA licence deadlineCrypto News

What Is the GENIUS Act? A Guide to U.S. Stablecoin LawThe Block

Senate races to advance crypto legislation in July as housing bill turmoil threatens timelineThe Block

Rules

Resolution criteria

A market option will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) at the close of the first trading day following the expiration of the initial post-IPO lock-up period is within a specific range, and "No" otherwise.
Source of Truth: The market capitalization will be determined based on the official closing share price on the Nasdaq exchange on the day the lock-up period expires.
This data can be verified via standard financial platforms such as Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, or the Nasdaq official website.
Lock-up Period: The resolution date is defined as the first market trading day after lock-up restrictions for the primary group of insiders/employees permanently end.
If the lock-up expiration falls on a weekend or market holiday, it will resolve on the next business day.