Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast4th or higher 100%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.6 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 7:45 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
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Manifold MarketsSpaceX market cap on December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX have a higher market cap than Amazon at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX vs Tesla - Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Tesla on Dec. 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
https://companiesmarketcap.com/
- Resolves YES if SpaceX is at the listed position or higher at ANY point in 2026.
- Can resolve as soon as SpaceX reaches the rank.
- If SpaceX ipos and is 7th, 7th or higher, 8th or higher, 9th or higher and 10th or higher would all resolve yes.
- And the market would stay open for the whole year, and if SpaceX went up a position, then would resolve yes on them too.
- N/a if SpaceX doesn’t ipo in 2026.
