Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75.8%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 25, 4:27 AM UTCDec 31, 34, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Nayib Bukele is the President of El Salvador who gained international attention for his controversial anti-gang crackdown known as the "regime of exception," which began in March 2022.
- While his tough-on-crime approach has dramatically reduced gang violence and earned him widespread domestic popularity, human rights organizations have documented numerous abuses including arbitrary detentions, torture, and deaths in custody.
- The International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague prosecutes individuals for genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and crimes of aggression.
- Currently, there are no known formal investigations or proceedings by the ICC against Bukele or his administration.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if:
