Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 84.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 4, 23, 12:55 AM UTCJan 1, 60, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRules
Will a non-human simian get a perfect score in the William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition before the year 2060? The monkey does not have to be an official participant - it just has to take the test and be given a perfect score by a reasonable judge.
- See also @/JosephNoonan/will-there-be-an-uplifted-primate-b