Current community forecast
Yes 94.3%
Forecasters
100
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 23, 2:29 AM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
The William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition, known as the Putnam exam, is a prestigious annual mathematics competition for undergraduate students in the United States and Canada.
- The exam consists of 12 challenging mathematical problems, with participants given 6 hours to complete the exam.
- A perfect score on the Putnam exam is rare, even among top students, and would be a significant achievement for an AI system, showcasing its advanced mathematical problem-solving capabilities.
- Will clear and strong evidence be provided that an AI is capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam under real-world conditions before January 1st, 2028?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2028, clear and strong evidence is provided that an AI system is capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam, adhering to the following conditions:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028? resolve?
- Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.
- How is Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition, known as the Putnam exam, is a prestigious annual mathematics competition for undergraduate students in the United States and Canada.