Current community forecast
No 99%
Forecasters
95
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 12, 23, 5:10 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
@Mira is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?
- The market will resolve as YES if:
- @Mira 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
- The market will resolve as NO if any of:
- Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.