Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Never 40.4%Leader of 8 outcomes
Never 40.4%Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJun 13, 23, 10:37 PM UTCDec 30, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Including scenarios of humans being "extinct in the wild": only a small population preserved for e.g. research puposes.