What are the current odds for Will @levifinkelstein cause human extinction by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of October 23, 2026.

Will @levifinkelstein cause human extinction by 2030?

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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 57 minutes ago

Lagging

Jul 13, 23, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

@levifinkelstein developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.

Will @levifinkelstein n cause human extinction by 2030?
The market will resolve as YES if:
@levifinkelstein 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
The market will resolve as NO if:
Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.