Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 75.3%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJul 29, 24, 7:50 PM UTCNov 26, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Michael Bay's Skibidi Toilet movie release before the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRules
Skibidi Toilet is a series of nonsensical videos which seemingly exist to make anyone over the age of 30 feel old.
- There are media reports that Michael Bay (director of many Transformers films as well as Pearl Harbour, Bad Boys 1 and 2, Armageddon and many more commercially successful films) will be making a film and TV franchise out of Skibidi Toilet with the president of Paramount saying that it, "could be the next Transformers or could be a Marvel universe.
- Will this happen? Or is this a bizarre story that ends up going nowhere?
- Resolution criteria:
- The film must be released in cinemas by the end of 2028.
- It must appear in at least 500 theatres in the US or gross at least $50 million internationally to qualify (the source of truth here will be Box Office Mojo).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028? resolve?
- Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 26, 2028.
- How is Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Skibidi Toilet is a series of nonsensical videos which seemingly exist to make anyone over the age of 30 feel old.