Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.4%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 29, 24, 7:50 PM UTCNov 26, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If there is a Skibidi toilet movie or TV show, will they get the rights to the original Skibidi song?
Manifold MarketsIf there is a Skibidi toilet show/movie, will they have a lowfi or piano only cover of the original Skibidi song?
Manifold MarketsWill Michael Bay's Skibidi Toilet movie release before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full Skibidi Toilet episode to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry announces they are engaged by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Skibidi Toilet is a series of nonsensical videos which seemingly exist to make anyone over the age of 30 feel old.
- There are media reports that Michael Bay (director of many Transformers films as well as Pearl Harbour, Bad Boys 1 and 2, Armageddon and many more commercially successful films) will be making a film and TV franchise out of Skibidi Toilet with the president of Paramount saying that it, "could be the next Transformers or could be a Marvel universe.
- Will this happen? Or is this a bizarre story that ends up going nowhere?
- Resolution criteria:
- The film must be released in cinemas by the end of 2028.
- It must appear in at least 500 theatres in the US or gross at least $50 million internationally to qualify (the source of truth here will be Box Office Mojo).
