Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 20, 24, 10:41 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
Must be >=8:00 minutes, single prompt (of whatever length) without revisions
- Must have the distinctive Skibidi feel
- The story must be broadly consistent with the Skibidi canon
- The AI-generated episode(s) must be made publicly available and have >1M views in aggregate
- Subjective, so I will not trade in this market.