Will "Lightcone Commons" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffScience1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.4%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 23, 26, 7:26 PM UTCFeb 1, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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PolymarketWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Lightcone Commons is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
