KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
David Allara 18%Leader of 30 outcomes
David Allara 18%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?
Manifold MarketsChemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiWhat will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Nobel Foundation
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation.
- Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.
