KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Madonna (99%)
Resolved: Sep 28, 2026, 2:14 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 28, 2026, 2:12 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Taylor Swift1%
Ariana Grande28%
Madonna99%
Sabrina Carpenter6%
Bruno Mars4%
MadonnaWon
Taylor SwiftLost
Ariana GrandeLost
Sabrina CarpenterLost
Bruno MarsLost
TieLost
Morgan WallenLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome wins Artist of The Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:MTV
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the MTV Video Music Awards.
- Any references to the MTV Video Music Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between MTV Video Music Awards and Kalshi.
- If Madonna wins Artist of The Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.