KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Amitav Ghosh 17%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 1:00 AM UTCOct 10, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
If the named outcome has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Nobel Foundation
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026?
- Kalshi prices Amitav Ghosh at 17% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026 resolve?
- Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026 is scheduled to resolve on October 10, 2026.
- How is Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature, then the market resolves to Yes.
