KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Tie 2%Leader of 11 outcomes
Tie 2%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$500
Open interest
$585
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 2:00 AM UTCNov 18, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
National Book Award for Fiction
KalshiNational Book Award for Translated Literature
KalshiNational Book Award for Poetry
KalshiNational Book Award for Nonfiction
KalshiWhat's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?
Manifold MarketsHow many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination?
Manifold MarketsRules
If 'Tie' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Book Awards
- The 77th National Book Awards is scheduled to take place Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST
Rules for each outcome
- Tie
- If 'Tie' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Free Verse Society
- If 'The Free Verse Society' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Celestial Seas
- If 'The Celestial Seas' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Moon Without Stars
- If 'The Moon Without Stars' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clothes to Make You Smile: Patrick Kelly Designs His Dreams
- If 'Clothes to Make You Smile: Patrick Kelly Designs His Dreams' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Life on the Moon
- If 'Life on the Moon' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Holloway
- If 'Holloway' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When Tomorrow Burns
- If 'When Tomorrow Burns' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- That Which Feeds Us: A Hawaiian Gothic
- If 'That Which Feeds Us: A Hawaiian Gothic' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Fight of Our Lives: AIDS in America
- If 'The Fight of Our Lives: AIDS in America' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shook
- If 'Shook' wins the award for Young People's Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
