KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ariel Pakes 22%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 1:29 AM UTCOct 14, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?
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KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketNcaafheisman 26
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
If the named outcome has won the 2026 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Nobel Foundation
Open markets
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal+0.2pt14.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.1pt10.8%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5M
- 24h Vol
- $493K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $136.8K
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-1.0pt64%
- Resident Evil Requiem-2.0pt10.8%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.6pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.0pt62%
+28 more outcomes
GEMINIWho will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Harry Kane63.5%
- Lamine Yamal15.5%
- Kylian Mbappe12.5%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $125.3K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan9.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.4K
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nobel Prize in Economics 2026?
- Kalshi prices Ariel Pakes at 22% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 resolve?
- Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 is scheduled to resolve on October 14, 2026.
- How is Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has won the 2026 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, then the market resolves to Yes.