What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
1.9 pts (24h)One-OffAwards1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAnnounced before the end of October 2026 92.4%+1.9ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 14, 25, 3:26 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nobel_laureates_in_Literature
- As of 2023 the Nobel Prize in Literature has been awarded to 120 individuals.
- There have been four instances in which the award was given to two people (1904, 1917, 1966, 1974).
- Seventeen women have been awarded the Nobel Prize in Literature, the second highest number of any of the Nobel Prizes behind the Peace Prize.
- As of 2023, there have been 29 English-speaking winners, followed by French with 16 laureates and German with 14 laureates.
- France is the country with the highest number of winners for the Nobel Prize in Literature.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Announced before the end of October 2026 at 92% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026? resolve?
- What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.
- How is What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nobel_laureates_in_Literature