Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.7%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 23, 26, 6:01 AM UTCJul 31, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will happen when Andy Burnham is Prime Minister (Add Answers)
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SmarketsRules
Larry the Cat has outlasted 6 PMs in 10 Downing Street so far, with Andy being the seventh PM he’s served as Chief Mouser under.
- Will Larry the Cat outlast Burnham, and stay in Downing Street longer than him?
- Resolves NO upon the tragic death of Larry, or YES if Andy Burnham stops being the PM of the UK, and another person holds the role.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure? resolve?
- Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure? is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2031.
- How is Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Larry the Cat has outlasted 6 PMs in 10 Downing Street so far, with Andy being the seventh PM he’s served as Chief Mouser under.