What are the current odds for Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure??

Manifold Markets prices No at 73.2% as of October 30, 2026.

Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure?

PoliticsOne-Off4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 73.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Stale

Jul 23, 26, 6:01 AM UTCJul 31, 31, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Larry the Cat has outlasted 6 PMs in 10 Downing Street so far, with Andy being the seventh PM he’s served as Chief Mouser under.

Will Larry the Cat outlast Burnham, and stay in Downing Street longer than him?
Resolves NO upon the tragic death of Larry, or YES if Andy Burnham stops being the PM of the UK, and another person holds the role.