Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029??

Manifold Markets prices No at 57.8% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029? resolve?

Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.

How is Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Joe Biden is alive on January 20th, 2029

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POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party92.1%
• Republican Party7.9%

Total Vol

$30.8M

24h Vol

$4.9M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.5pt

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+2.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$51.5M

24h Vol

$3.2M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.6pt91.8%
• Republican Party-0.9pt8.3%

Total Vol

$80.8M

24h Vol

$3.1M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+2.0pt66%
• R Senate, D26.2%
• Republicans Sweep6.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Texas Governor winner?

• Greg Abbott-1.0pt63.5%
• Gina Hinojosa+2.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$10M

24h Vol

$1.5M

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