Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 65.5%
No 65.5%Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:23 PM UTCJan 16, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s
- (Identical market to: source market)
