Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (71%)

Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 4:34 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Winning Outcome

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

67%

Consensus

Current community forecast

No 71%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Aug 16, 26, 5:00 AMAug 18, 26, 11:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes29%

No71%

71%

Yes

29%

Rules

2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida - Wikipedia

Resolves yes if Jared Moskowitz gets 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25th district Democratic house primary?

Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (71%)

Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 4:34 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Winning Outcome

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

67%

Consensus

Current community forecast

No 71%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Aug 16, 26, 5:00 AMAug 18, 26, 11:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes29%

No71%

71%

Yes

29%

Rules

2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida - Wikipedia

Resolves yes if Jared Moskowitz gets 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25th district Democratic house primary?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary??: Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of August 20, 2026.
When does Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary? resolve?: Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary? is scheduled to resolve on August 18, 2026.
How is Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida - Wikipedia

Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary?

Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary?

Frequently asked questions

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