What are the current odds for Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary??

Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 20, 2026.

Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 11:02 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 hours ago

Stale

Mar 23, 26, 12:27 PMAug 19, 26, 11:02 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes1%

No99%

99%

Yes

Rules

Resolution criteria

The Republican primary for Governor of Florida is scheduled for August 18, 2026.
This market resolves YES if James Fishback receives the most votes among Republican candidates in the primary and wins the nomination.
It resolves NO if any other candidate wins the primary.
Resolution will be determined by official results from the Florida Division of Elections at https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/.
James Fishback is a 31-year-old investor and hedge fund manager who launched his campaign for the Republican nomination for Florida governor in November 2025.

Prediction Source Comparison

Also available on ForecastEx — Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican primary for governor in 2026? · No 98%

Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 11:02 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 hours ago

Stale

Mar 23, 26, 12:27 PMAug 19, 26, 11:02 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes1%

No99%

99%

Yes

Rules

Resolution criteria

The Republican primary for Governor of Florida is scheduled for August 18, 2026.
This market resolves YES if James Fishback receives the most votes among Republican candidates in the primary and wins the nomination.
It resolves NO if any other candidate wins the primary.
Resolution will be determined by official results from the Florida Division of Elections at https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/.
James Fishback is a 31-year-old investor and hedge fund manager who launched his campaign for the Republican nomination for Florida governor in November 2025.

Prediction Source Comparison

Also available on ForecastEx — Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican primary for governor in 2026? · No 98%

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary??: Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 20, 2026.
When does Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary? resolve?: Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary? is scheduled to resolve on August 19, 2026.
How is Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria
Where else is Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary? listed?: The same question is also listed on ForecastEx.

Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

Prediction Source Comparison

Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

Prediction Source Comparison

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