Will Jake Paul run for and win any political office before EOY 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Jake Paul run for and win any political office before EOY 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 78.1% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will Jake Paul run for and win any political office before EOY 2028? resolve?

Will Jake Paul run for and win any political office before EOY 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.

How is Will Jake Paul run for and win any political office before EOY 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Jake Paul wins any elected office in the United States before or during 2028, including local elections, statewide elections, presidential elections, etc.

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.7M

24h Vol

$3.6M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$40.2M

24h Vol

$2.3M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+7.3pt83.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-7.0pt16.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$195.1M

24h Vol

$2.2M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.7pt90.7%
• Republican Party+0.7pt9.5%

Total Vol

$68.7M

24h Vol

$1.6M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt66.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+3.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40.2%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%+5.0pt37.3%
• Lula da Silva <4%-5.0pt13.7%

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