Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 18, 26, 9:55 AM UTCMay 15, 27, 7:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
KalshiWhich country will win the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026?
Manifold MarketsEurovision Song Contest Asia Winner
KalshiWhen will the first Eurovision Song Contest Asia show happen?
Manifold MarketsSong with AI singing in Eurovision Song Contest before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the last one to win the Eurovision song contest at least once?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) officially announces that Israel is banned or suspended from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest prior to the commencement of the 2027 Grand Final.
- It resolves to NO if Israel remains eligible to compete in the 2027 contest or if no such ban/suspension is announced before the final event.
- The primary source of resolution will be official statements released by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or the official Eurovision Song Contest website.
- If the EBU issues a statement regarding Israel's participation status, that determination will be final.
- The Eurovision Song Contest has faced significant political pressure regarding participant eligibility in recent years.
