Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 92.5%
Forecasters
89
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 7:00 AM UTCJan 6, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Donut Lab has posted this video: https://youtu.be/Y-aPS2AwMbc?si=Wgwx-LUcWMhp3L9k
- In it they make several claims about a new battery technology they've invented.
- One year from now, will I deem any of the claims made to have been false or disingenuous? I will resolve the market Yes if I do and no if I don't.
- I won't bet on this market.
- I will act in good faith.
- The resolution will be as accurate a reflection of my belief at the closing time as I can have it be.
