Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 16, 22, 2:49 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Hillary Clinton say during Morning Joe?
KalshiWill Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the first female elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.3M
- 24h Vol
- $980.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.4M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $608.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.3M
- Texas Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hillary Clinton ever be elected President??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Hillary Clinton ever be elected President? resolve?
- Will Hillary Clinton ever be elected President? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.