Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.1%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 27, 23, 4:23 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Hillary Clinton ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Hillary Clinton say during Morning Joe?
KalshiWill Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an official mugshot of Marjorie Taylor Greene be published before her death?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
- [image]Mugshot series: @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-george @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-anthony @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-joe-bid @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-hillary @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-nancy-p @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-mike-pe @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-alexand
- @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur
Open markets
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $11.5M
- 24h Vol
- $19.3K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt19%
- 2026+0.3pt5%
- Total Vol
- $590.6K
- 24h Vol
- $10.2K
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Anthony Fauci-2.0pt35%
- John Brennan+1.0pt34%
- Ilhan Omar+3.0pt18%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+1.0pt71%
- Yes-1.0pt29%
- Total Vol
- $416.5K
- 24h Vol
- $5.9K
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-5.0pt8%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan+2.0pt26%
- Letitia James+8.9pt15%
- Anthony Fauci+1.0pt14%
+21 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death? resolve?
- Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2049.
- How is Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.