Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffHealth & MedicineTech3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 70.4%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 22, 6:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria controlon or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the "Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control" row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. The funds must go towards attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control, not a charity that largely does other work.
