Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffHealth & MedicineTech2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71.8%
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32
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 22, 6:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria controlon or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the "Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control" row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. The funds must go towards attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control, not a charity that largely does other work.
