Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
TechOne-OffHealth & Medicine3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 85.9%
No 85.9%Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 17, 22, 7:09 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be >250k tech layoffs in 2027 according to Layoffs.fyi?
Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund eave tubes to control malariaon or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Eave tubes to control malaria” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. Eave tubes can be distributed for the purpose of malaria reduction or other purposes.
