Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?
TechOne-OffHealth & Medicine3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Dec 17, 22, 4:42 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be >250k tech layoffs in 2027 according to Layoffs.fyi?
Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a probiotic supplementation distribution charity is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the "probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns " row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- Probiotic supplementation can be distributed for the purpose of child mortality reduction or other purposes.
