Will we get AGI before 2035?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we get AGI before 2035??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71.2% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will we get AGI before 2035? resolve?

Will we get AGI before 2035? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2035.

How is Will we get AGI before 2035? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$81.3K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.6pt52.7%
• Gemini-2.3pt35.4%
• ChatGPT-1.3pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 675T tokens+16.0pt99.5%
• Above 650T tokens+33.0pt99.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T28.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.6pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.1pt18.2%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$46.3K

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