Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Will 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?
Will 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Will we get AGI before 2029?
Will we get AGI before 2028?
Rules
Resolves as YES if at least one million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2033.
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