Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
TechOne-OffHealth & Medicine2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 77.4%
No 77.4%Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Dec 18, 22, 12:46 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. The funds must go towards HPV vaccination, not a charity that largely does other work.
