Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 97.6% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2028? resolve?

Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on October 2, 2028.

How is Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if they win the election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.2pt91.1%
• Republican Party-0.3pt9%

Total Vol

$79.3M

24h Vol

$3.8M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+3.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$49.4M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt27.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt7.9%

Total Vol

$26.3M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

• Karen Bass+10.0pt54.5%
• Nithya Raman-9.0pt45.5%

Total Vol

$45M

24h Vol

$1.8M

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

US House Control After the 2026 Midterms

• Democrat93%
• Republican-1.0pt9%

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$1.4M

• Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
• California Governor winner? (Person)
• Who will control the Senate?
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
• Texas Governor winner?
• South Carolina Senate winner?
• Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
• Florida Governor winner?
• 2026 Texas Senate Race
• Alaska Senate winner?
• Michigan Senate winner?
• Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028