Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 88%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 3, 25, 5:56 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ed Balls stands as a candidate for election to the UK House of Commons before January 1, 2030(and after 2024).
- Official announcements from the UK Labour Party or Ed Balls himself, as well as reputable news sources, will serve as verification.
- If no such candidacy is declared by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
- Ed Balls, born on February 25, 1967, is a British broadcaster, economist, and former politician.
- He served as the Member of Parliament (MP) for Normanton (2005–2010) and Morley and Outwood (2010–2015).