Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 86%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 31, 26, 11:51 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Tusk is the Prime Minister of Poland at 11:59pm CET on 30 November 2026.
- This market will resolve NO if Donald Tusk is not the Prime Minister of Poland at 11:59pm CET on 30 November 2026.