Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96%
Forecasters
68
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 30, 22, 6:32 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Manifold MarketsWho will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves YES if former US President Donald Trump is awarded any of the six prizes listed on https://www.nobelprize.org/ (Peace, Literature, Chemistry, Physics, Medicine or Econonic Sciences) before 1st Jan 2030, regardless of whether he accepts the award.
