Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 58.9%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 17, 25, 12:43 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRules
Any nobel prize (though medicine is most likely) primarily for the development of or work done on GLP-1 drugs or any specific drugs in this category, including semaglutide, tirzepatide, etc
