Will democrats win Miami-Dade county in any 2026 Florida Statewide race?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 7:57 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Miami dade has shifted significantly towards republicans in recent times.
- Hillary won it by 29.39% in 2016
- Biden won it by 7.33% points in 2020
- Trump won it by 11.45% in 2024
- A 40 point swing to republicans in 8 years!
- Resolves yes if democrats win Miami-dade county in at least one of: