What are the current odds for Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election??

Manifold Markets prices 25.00% or more at 100% as of August 16, 2026.

Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?

0.2 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection US Politics

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: 25.00% or more

Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 8:16 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

25.00% or more 99.8%+0.2pt

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+54.5 pts

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Jul 9, 26, 3:50 AMAug 15, 26, 8:16 PM

Probability Timeline

25.00% or more99.8%

24.99*% or less0.2%

25.00% or more

+0.2 pts

99.8%

24.99*% or less

-0.2 pts

0.2%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?

0.2 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection US Politics

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: 25.00% or more

Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 8:16 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

25.00% or more 99.8%+0.2pt

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+54.5 pts

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Jul 9, 26, 3:50 AMAug 15, 26, 8:16 PM

Probability Timeline

25.00% or more99.8%

24.99*% or less0.2%

25.00% or more

+0.2 pts

99.8%

24.99*% or less

-0.2 pts

0.2%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election??: Manifold Markets prices 25.00% or more at 100% as of August 16, 2026.
When does Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election? resolve?: Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026.

Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?

Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?

Frequently asked questions

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