Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 3, 26, 12:45 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Benchmark is here: https://scale.com/leaderboard/scipredict.
- It tests models' ability to predict the results of scientific experiments.
- As of writing, current SOTA is Gemini 3 Pro's 25.27%.
