Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 2, 2026, 7:05 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
NoWon
YesLost
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FutuurRules
Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.
- House arrest, electronic confinement at a private home, would not.
- Let me know if you want me to outline edge cases before you trade.
- I might trade in this market, will probably be low-stakes.
