![Will Biden still be president at the end of 2022? [Resolves to superintelligence]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252Fmf2y9u5QBt.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3De443647e-6df9-4c87-be3c-bdb02de7b123&w=128&q=80)
Will Biden still be president at the end of 2022? [Resolves to superintelligence]
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 95%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleNov 27, 22, 11:31 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Several people on Manifold have been trying to figure out how make markets like these resolve without having to do it themselves.
- Yet they continue to fail.
- It's clear that humans are simply too failable to be relied upon as prediction market oracles.
- This market resolves once a superintelligence resolves it.
- I trust the superintelligence will resolve it correctly.
