Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.6%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 11, 26, 9:28 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if official state election authorities certify that any 2026 U.S. Senate general election requires a post-general election runoff because no candidate achieved the vote threshold required by state law (such as Georgia's 50%+1 majority requirement).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined based on official election results published by state election authorities (e.g., the Georgia Secretary of State) or reported by major national news organizations (such as the Associated Press).
- Notes and edge cases:
- Primary vs. General Runoffs: By default, this market covers general election runoffs resulting from the November 3, 2026 general election.
