Will any pandemic scientist experts besides Fauci go to prison before 2050?
PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineCrime & JusticeManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 9:25 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 11:00 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2050, any scientist, epidemiologist, virologist, or scientific advisor who played a prominent role in the COVID-19 pandemic response, funding, or origins research (excluding Dr. Anthony Fauci) is sentenced to and serves time in a state, federal, or international prison.
- To ensure clear, objective resolution, the following specific individuals are explicitly pre-approved as qualifying "pandemic scientist experts" for the purposes of this market:
- Dr. David Morens (former Senior Advisor to the NIAID Director, who pleaded guilty to federal conspiracy in August 2026)
- Dr. Peter Daszak (president of EcoHealth Alliance)
- Dr. Francis Collins (former NIH Director)