Current community forecast
No 90.4%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 9, 26, 2:54 PM UTCJan 1, 41, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWhen will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if any remaining Millenium Problem is solved and confirmed or widely believed to be solved with zero or minimal AI use.
- I plan to interpret "zero to minimal AI use" in regards to the use of AI in creating mathematical, programmatical, and logical ideas/innovations and combining those ideas/innovations with existing concepts.
- The use of AI for the speeding up tasks that are repetitive, time consuming, or otherwise considered busy work will always still allow for a YES resolution.
- This includes but is not limited to research/searching for relevant papers, general coding assistance, etc. The spirit of the question should be considering whether AI contributed uniquely to the advancement/solution of the question or just was used to accelerate the speed at which the human ideas were able to be used.
- I recognize there is still a somewhat high likelihood of subjectivity and as such will not be trading on this market.
