Current community forecast
No 82.9%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCOct 27, 40, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
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PolymarketRules
Will humans be responsible for the solutions to any remaining Millenium Prize problem?
- This question is aiming for the scenario where most future advanced math is done by AI.
- If even 25% of the "effort" of solving the problem is made by human mathematicians I will resolve YES.
- If deep learning ends up largely superseded by some future paradigm I will update the question to reflect that.
- The question is about the current cutting edge of AI, not deep learning specifically.
- To my knowledge essentially no existing theorems wouldn't pass the bar of "mostly solved by humans".
Open markets
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KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans? resolve?
- Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2040.
- How is Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will humans be responsible for the solutions to any remaining Millenium Prize problem?